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BTC · 6w

One Year After The 2020 Halving, Bitcoin Price Has Gained 533%

The most recent Bitcoin mining subsidy halving occurred officially one year ago today, on May 11, 2020. In recognition of the event, let’s take a look back at what has transpired in the Bitcoin market over the last year and a look forward to what it could have in store.

The Importance Of The Halving’s Quantitative Tightening

Following the record plunge across all asset classes during the global liquidity crises at the beginning of March 2020, record monetary and fiscal stimulus had bitcoin trading around the $8,000 level at the halving on May 11, 2020. Investors around the globe began to understand that they needed a place to seek refuge and insulate themselves from the unprecedented monetary expansion, and bitcoin undergoing a quantitative tightening event — whereby the supply issuance of new bitcoin is cut by 50% irrespective of the choice of any policy makers — was quite the contrast.

Inflation rate of bitcoin (log)  What Has Transpired Since The 2020 Halving Federal Reserve balance sheet, May 11, 2020 to May 11, 2021

What has transpired since that Halving event was that investor sentiment around the record monetary expansion on the horizon has been proven to be correct. The Federal Reserve (and other major global central banks) continued to inject liquidity into the financial system to keep borrowing conditions loose, and this played a major role in the adoption of bitcoin as an alternative monetary asset that exists outside the system.

At the time of writing, bitcoin has gained 533% since the halving event, as the supply and demand dynamics of a surge in demand coupled with an inelastic (and 50% reduced) supply issuance caused the price of the asset to skyrocket above a $1 trillion market cap.

Price of BTC/USD since the start of 2020

Before the Halving event, legendary Wall Street manager Paul Tudor Jones published a report titled “The Great Monetary Inflation,” in which he outlined his beliefs about the incumbent monetary s...

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