Just another quick update. Seems like the slight price pump actually slowed withdrawals down a smidge, but Tfuel continues to slowly drop (posted around 11 am).
**Known Hot Wallet**
**Known Cold Wallet**
So Tfuel total down to 121M, which is down about 31M from 46 hours ago (or about 0.66M/hour) and down about 72M from 96 hours ago (0.75M/hour). So you can see it's slowing down a bit but still a nice steady outflow. If the outflows kept dropping down to 0.5M/hour, for example, then Binance would be out of Tfuel from those two major wallets within 10 days.
With Theta, it's really hard to gauge because I see major wallets moving coins in and out. There are 3-4 wallets holding amounts hovering around 2M Theta (i.e. the Validator node cut-off) pulling Theta out then putting it back in. 1 or 2 of those wallets appear to be arbitraging (i.e. trading between exchanges) periodically, which could cut against them being validator nodes, but that's pure speculation on my part. Only thing I can extrapolate is it's at least 1M or so down from where it was 4 days ago.