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ETH · 8w

Volatility strikes back, but on-chain metrics reveal strong resistance ahead of Ethereum

The cryptocurrency market has gone through a bullish impulse that saw many cryptos rise substantially, including Ethereum. Now, on-chain metrics reveal that Ether could face significant resistance ahead.

Volatility is back and Ethereum benefits from it

Ethereum started off Q2 on the right foot. The smart contracts giant jumped over 13 percent from a monthly open of $132.6 to recently reaching a high of $150. In the last few hours, ETH retraced 5 percent, which is a clear sign that realized volatility is back to its “pre-Black Thursday” level, according to Skew.

The crypto derivatives insights provider maintains that from a short-term perspective, the degree of variability in the returns of Ether went back to the levels seen before the March 12 crash. However, implied volatility, which represents the market’s view of the probability of changes in a given asset’s price, remains higher. This could indicate that market participants are still “wary of possible tremors.”

Ethereum’s Realized Volatility by Skew

Indeed, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index (CFGI) continues sensing extreme levels of fear among market participants. This fundamental indicator evaluates the emotions and sentiments from different sources, such as volatility, market momentum, social media and other datasets, and crunch them into one simple number.

Since the beginning of March, the CFGI has been hovering below a value of 17 indicating that “extreme fear” reigns the cryptocurrency market.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index

Although sizable opportunities are usually presented in times of uncertainty, IntoTheBlock’s “Global In/Out of the Money” reveals that almost 80 percent of all the addresses holding ETH are losing money. Meanwhile, only 10.5 percent of addresses are “in the money.” This could be the main reason why there is growing concerns over a further downturn.

Ethereum’s Historical In/Out of the Money by IntoTheBlock

Nonetheless, the In/Out of the Money Aro...

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